2016/04/26

Univ. of Cassino and Southern Lazio Lectures Toshiaki Hirai



Univ. of Cassino and Southern Lazio Lectures
          Lecture 1
              
       World Capitalism in Crisis

       Toshiaki Hirai

Introduction 1  Outline of the Lecture

I.  Capitalism and the World Economy:
        
The aim here is to identify what globalization has brought about over these last three decades, examine how world capitalism has evolved and changed through globalization, and evaluate globalization (focusing on its light and shadow) through representative nations – the developed nations and the emerging nations.
Focusing on this phenomenon from diverse points of view should prove fruitful for an understanding not only of world capitalism as it is but also of the direction it will be moving in.

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Since the mid-80s the world economy has seen the evolution of Globalization, which can be characterized as the “phenomenon moving toward market economy on a global scale”.
  Globalization can be considered from two viewpoints – the factors which favored it, and the phenomena which occurred as a result of those factors.

  With regard to the factors, we will single out the following five:

(i) Neo-Liberalism;

(ii) financial liberalization;

(iii) liberalization of capital transaction;

(iv) New Industrial Revolution;

(v) the collapse of the socialistic system.

More in detail, (i) is the fruit of developments in thought in the broad sense, (ii) and (iii) are steps intentionally taken by governments and financial institutions in the direction of financial liberalization, (iv) is a conquest of the IT revolution, initiated by many young US entrepreneurs, and (v) is the collapse of a rival to the capitalistic system.

As for the phenomena, four types of globalization could be identified as constituting the great transformation of the world economic system:

(i) Financial Globalization;

(ii) Market System I – Globalization, with the collapse of the Cold War Order and the ensuing convergence toward the capitalistic system

(iii) Market System II – Globalization, with the rise of the emerging nations – the so-called BRICs

(iv) Globalization of Market Integration – the EU (or the Euro System).

Globalization, in a nutshell, has offered great opportunities for the emerging
nations to attain high rates of economic growth – so high, indeed, as to qualify them for membership of the G20 (although Russia suffered severely from the so-called Shock Therapy).
For the US and the UK, globalization has contributed to their regaining economic power from Japan, especially through financial globalization.
Financial globalization, on the other hand, has proved so excessive as to make the world economy increasingly fragile and unstable.
 
We cannot and need not prevent the advent of Globalization. But we need to
know what capitalism is and how it should be managed in order to prevent
excesses, especially in financial globalization.

Lecture 2  How Should We Grasp Capitalism?
Lecture 3  How Should We Grasp Globalization?
Lecture 4  Financial Liberalization and Instability
Lecture 5  Lehman Shock and the US Economy
Lecture 6  The Euro Crisis
Lecture 7  Self-Trapped Japanese Economy 
Lecture 8  Abenomics and Stagnant Japanese Economy
Lecture 9  What Is Happening to Economics?

II. On Keynes

It is widely agreed that the greatest contribution of John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) to modern economics was the construction, for the first time, of a model explaining how the level of employment is determined.

Keynes was probably the most important and without doubt the most influential economic thinker to emerge in the era spanning the decline and disintegration of the Pax Britannica and ending with the Second World War.

After his death, his influence in the spheres of macroeconomics and economic policy-making became so overwhelmingly dominant that the period from the 1950s to the 1970s may with some justification be designated the “Age of Keynes.”
 
The evolution of Keynes’s thought was informed as much by the events of the real world, in which he was himself deeply engaged, as by the world of theoretical economics. He developed a monetary approach to economics, centering on the theory of effective demand, and, on that foundation, advocated a fiscal policy to address the crushing problem of mass unemployment which marked the inter-war years.

The stance Keynes took in theoretical economics and in practical affairs was closely linked to his social philosophy – the “New Liberalism”– which insisted on the necessity for judicious intervention on the part of government to facilitate the orderly functioning of the economy, an outlook set squarely against nineteenth-century laissezfaire.

Keynes’s other influence was his active involvement in policy-making. In his final years, as the top United Kingdom representative in negotiations with the United States he contributed important proposals for the design of the postwar world order.
 
Lecture 10  The Life of Keynes
Lecture 11  Social Philosophy in Interwar Cambridge
Lecture 12  Keynesian Revolution – from the Treatise to
the General Theory
Lecture 13  The General Theory
Lecture 14  A Treatise on Probability and My Early Beliefs
Lecture 15  Employment Policy and Welfare System
Lecture 16  Rescue/Relief Problem and Commodity Problem
Lecture 17  International Clearing Union/
End of the Lecture (inc. Geopolitics)